Don’t overthink this one. Memphis has already had its stumble — that ugly loss to UAB a few weeks back was the wake-up call this team needed. Since then, the Tigers have played with purpose, focus, and an edge that comes from knowing their postseason hopes depend on every snap.
Tonight, they face a Tulane squad that simply hasn’t lived up to its billing. The Green Wave defense, once the program’s backbone, has fallen off a cliff. They’re giving up explosive plays, missing tackles in space, and losing contain far too often. The numbers back it up — Tulane ranks near the bottom nationally in yards allowed and success rate. That weakness will show again tonight against a Memphis offense that’s found its rhythm and balance.
The Tigers have the advantage across every key matchup:
- Quarterback play — Memphis’ signal caller has been efficient and decisive, especially at home.
- Run game — Expect Memphis to lean on its ground attack early, testing Tulane’s soft interior.
- Momentum — Memphis has turned that UAB embarrassment into fuel.
Some will point to a possible “letdown” spot after Memphis’ recent emotional wins. Forget that narrative. The letdown already happened. This team got humbled, regrouped, and is now playing its best football of the year.
Tulane’s defense won’t have the answers tonight, and Memphis’ physicality will wear them down by the third quarter. Look for the Tigers to control tempo, win the turnover battle, and pull away late.
Prediction: Memphis by 13+
Confidence: High
Memphis takes care of business, proving they’re still very much in the AAC race — and Tulane’s defensive woes become the headline by night’s end.
For informational and educational purposes only; not betting advice.